A Methodological Approach Towards Crisis Simulations: Qualifying CI-Enabled Information Systems

Low probability high impact events (LoPHIEs) disrupt organizations� processes severely. Existing methods used for the anticipation and management of such events, suffer from common limitations resulting in a huge impact to the quantification of probability, uncertainty and risk. Continues studies in the field of Crisis Informatics, present an opportunity for the development of a framework that fits the uncertainty related properties of LoPHIEs. The paper identifies the need for the development and conduction of a series of experiments, aiming to address the factors that qualify Collective Intelligence-enabled Information Systems with respect to their applicability towards support for LoPHIEs; and aims to propose an experiment framework as a methodology for scenario design in LoPHIEs settings. � 2017, Springer International Publishing AG.